News Life and Health23 Nov 2018

Australia:Population projected to grow by 5m to reach 30m in 11 to 15 years

| 23 Nov 2018

Based on current trends, Australia's population is projected to reach 30m people between 2029 and 2033, according to the latest figures released yesterday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

Population projections are based on assumptions of future levels of fertility, life expectancy and migration, which are guided by recent population trends.

Mr Anthony Grubb, director of demography at the ABS, said: "The projected time for the nation to grow by 5m people on current indications will be similar, if not a little shorter, than the 14 years it took to grow from 20m to 25m.

"Looking further ahead, based on the medium of our three main projection assumption series, Australia could add a further 10m to our current 25m by the year 2043.

"However under our higher range of fertility, mortality and migration assumptions, the population would reach 35m five years earlier in 2038. Conversely, under lower assumptions, the population would only reach 35m a decade later in 2053."

Projected population in states and territories, at 30 June 2027:

States and territories

Projection based on

lower assumptions


Projection based on

higher assumptions


New South Wales

9 022

9 285


7 497

7 908


5 676

5 931

South Australia

1 838

1 866

Western Australia

2 928

2 935




Northern Territory



Australian Capital Territory



Australia (including Other Territories)

28 274

29 284

Source: ABS


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